Incappato in questo ieri. Sito merdoso ma l'autore e' simpatico
https://www.spiked-o...ovid-behind-us/
Riassume quasi perfettamente il mio pensiero a questo punto della pandemia (e' anglocentrico ma tranquillamente applicabile ad altri paesi quando e se saranno nella stessa situazione), piu' nel principio che nei numeri.
Secondo me quelli che chiama 'frownies' o 'zero covidians' sono motivati da un impulso di controllare il prossimo e vivere come 'campioni' in questa nuova realta' dove tutto e' regolato. C'entra zero con la situazione del virus; mollare quel senso di superiorita' e "siamo meglio di voi, guardate che obbedienti che siamo" sara' dura.
It’s time to put Covid behind us
England’s ‘dangerous and unethical experiment’ of lifting all restrictions has been a resounding success.
We always knew there would be an exit wave and we always knew that the vaccines would not prevent every hospitalisation and death. Those who were paying attention understood that Covid had become an endemic disease that most people would get in their lifetime, perhaps more than once. We always knew that the name of the game was to get the risks down to the level of flu.
We always knew there would be an exit wave and we always knew that the vaccines would not prevent every hospitalisation and death. Those who were paying attention understood that Covid had become an endemic disease that most people would get in their lifetime, perhaps more than once. We always knew that the name of the game was to get the risks down to the level of flu.
So why the hell are so many people still losing their minds over it? I don’t just mean the Covid-denying ‘smiley’ contingent, who adopted the Acid House logo as their emblem last autumn. They went crazy a long time ago. With the chances of another lockdown dropping close to zero, these erstwhile ‘lockdown sceptics’ went full anti-vax and now scour the internet for sudden cardiac deaths of athletes and the unexpected death of anybody under the age of 60, whispering darkly about the ‘clot shot’. [...] Their opposite number, the Zero Covidians – or ‘frownies’ – have shown no contrition for being wrong on an epic scale since they described England’s ‘Freedom Day’ as a ‘dangerous and unethical experiment’ in July. The prospect of 100,000 cases a day was, in their view, nailed on and there was a real possibility of this rising to 200,000. Independent SAGE called on the government to revert to step two of the roadmap in which socialising indoors with anyone from outside your household was banned.
In the event, the number of cases per day peaked at just over 50,000 shortly before all restrictions were lifted. By the end of July they had fallen by half. Over the next two months rates rose and dipped in the manner of an endemic virus. Both smileys and frownies looked at the data, noted that things looked worse than they did at the same time last summer, when Covid rates were very low, and warned that winter was coming.
Needing a coping mechanism when the infection rate falls by a third is not healthy behaviour, psychologically speaking. But when cases began tumbling last month there was a tangible sense of disappointment from the #BorisTheButcher community. They insisted that it was nothing more than a temporary blip caused by the half-term school holidays – this despite the drop starting at least a week before the vast majority of schools broke up and despite that half-terms have never had such an impact on overall case numbers in the past. ‘Give it two weeks’, they said, as they so often do. When cases were still falling in November, they started a weird argument about when half-term was
We can see why if we take a step back and look at how things have progressed since step three of the roadmap took place in May. The UK has got the bulk of its exit wave out of the way before November and is heading into winter with a wall of immunity, natural and pharmaceutical, among every age group. Fortified by booster shots among those who most need them, we have flattened the curve – just as the government intended at the start of the pandemic when it was foolishly following a plan designed for influenza. Now that the vaccines have pushed the mortality risk down to flu-like levels, the rationale for that plan finally makes sense.
What was the alternative? A virus as infectious as Delta was always going to rip through the unvaccinated population like a dose of salts and infect plenty of vaccinated people along the way. Waiting for immunity to wane or pushing the wave into the winter would have been counterproductive. The vaccine passports and face masks favoured by frownies might have had an effect on the margins, but Europe is now seeing how difficult it is to suppress the virus with such feeble tools.
If not Plan B, then what? School closures? Shutting down hospitality? Lockdown? Perhaps these measures can be justified to buy time in a serious crisis, but there is no crisis and nothing to buy time for. It’s time to put Covid behind us.